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A | Following Hamas' attack on Israel, the United States has sent a clear message of deterrence to prevent the conflict from spreading.To "anyone thinking of taking advantage of this situation," President Joe Biden said during an address on Tuesday, "I have one word: Don't."The rhetoric has since been repeated by others in the administration, with National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan telling reporters that they believe militia groups across the region "pose an urgent threat" and could "choose to try to exploit" the situation.On ABC News Live at 8:30 p.m. on Thursday, Oct. 12, ABC News' James Longman, Matt Gutman and Ian Pannell look at the horrendous toll from Hamas' massacre, the Israelis and Palestinians caught in the middle and what comes next."We have been sending clear warnings that doing so will result in a firm response and consequences from the United States," Sullivan said Tuesday.National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told reporters Wednesday there's a "long list of actors in the region that are hostile to Israel," including Hezbollah, the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group.The administration has also offered its full support to Israel, with Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin telling reporters in Brussels on Thursday that the U.S. is not placing conditions on the military aid it's providing to Israel. The U.S. additionally moved a carrier strike group into the eastern Mediterranean as part of its deterrence measures."We're sending a loud and clear message: The United States is ready to take action should any actor hostile to Israel consider trying to escalate or widen this war," Kirby said Wednesday.How impactful those gestures will be on the raging war remains uncertain. The U.S. has limited leverage in the region, though does need to be careful to not further escalate the conflict, foreign policy experts said. The Biden administration is also likely keen to not get heavily involved, experts said."If Hezbollah or the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or some other militant group from a neighboring country decides to get involved and attack Israel at this time, I don't think the United States is going to do anything more than it's currently doing -- which is offering Israel whatever it needs to defend itself," Ralph Carter, a professor of political science at Texas Christian University, told ABC News.Biden has historically been "cautious" in sending U.S. troops into battle, Carter said. "His experience in Washington over 40 years or more suggests that once you start something like that, you have no idea where it's going to end."Kirby said Thursday that there are no active plans or intentions to send U.S. troops to join a potential ground war in Israel and Gaza. The U.S. has deployed its largest carrier group, the USS Gerald R. Ford, to the region as an act of deterrence, officials said."The United States has moved military assets in the region, but I really do find it doubtful that the Biden administration really wants to get heavily involved militarily," Russell Lucas, a professor of international relations and global studies at Michigan State University, told ABC News.Israel's powerful military is also capable of defending itself against Hamas and other militant groups, experts noted, which may limit what it needs from the U.S. and act as another deterrent."The requirements on the U.S. defense industry I think are maybe not as heavy as they might be if we were talking about a weaker ally," Adria Lawrence, the Aronson Associate Professor of International Studies and Political Science at Johns Hopkins University, said during a public briefing on the conflict.In recent days there have been some limited military engagements on Israel's northern border with Lebanon, though Hezbollah may be deterred from getting drawn into a larger conflict with Israel, experts said."They will pay dearly for entering the conflict," Lucas said. "I think most actors [in the region] know that at the end of the day, the most military-capable actor is Israel, so there is a deterrence factor."Given Israel's known military prowess, the Biden administration's rhetoric may be stronger than necessary, Lucas said."I think it's more the Biden administration is aiming especially at the domestic audience -- trying to reassert that kind of bully pulpit of the commander-in-chief role, especially in the face of perhaps critiques from the Republican Party that Biden isn't strong enough," he said.At the same time, the U.S. does need to be careful about making any threats, experts said."Words matter and if President Biden's making a commitment and making kind of an implicit threat, he needs to remember the risks that are inherent in making a red line," Lucas said. "President Obama's red line in Syria -- do not use chemical weapons -- that was then not followed up was viewed as one of Obama's biggest foreign policy failures."Sarah Parkinson, the Aronson Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Studies at JHU, said during the university's briefing that these comments by U.S. officials "will likely embolden extremists on both sides" and prolong the conflict.Following Biden's remarks, Hezbollah said they will not back down and are "ready for confrontation," while the top leader of the Islamist armed organization Houthis in Yemen said that if the U.S. intervenes militarily in Gaza, they will send munitions and fighters to support Hamas.In efforts to deescalate the conflict, the U.S. could help mobilize other countries in the region, according to James Steinberg, the dean of the School of Advanced International Studies at JHU and former Deputy Secretary of State during the Obama administration."It's not that the United States itself is going to broker a resolution of this, but it can engage others, all of whom have a stake in not seeing the situation escalate," Steinberg said during the university's briefing, noting the discussions that have been taking place between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia, the UAE and others.Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters Thursday at a press conference in Israel that they are working with their partners in the region to ensure "that there will not be a second front or a third front."Steinberg said a wider war "can't be ruled out," and the effectiveness of the U.S.' response to deescalate is "uncertain" -- likening it to its support of Israel in 1973 during the Yom Kippur War."Here as then, the United States has limited impact and limited leverage," he said. "Perhaps even less so today than it did in 1973."。 AI摘要福州鼓楼区汤边社区儿童友好空间建设经验入选国家推广清单。

B | 该社区通过“小而美”适儿化改造，鼓励儿童参与设计，优化通学安全与公共空间，以低成本实现高效益，为全国提供可复制的“福州方案”。记者19日从市妇联获悉，住房城乡建设部、国家发展改革委、国务院妇女儿童工作委员会办公室日前联合发布《城市儿童友好空间建设可复制经验清单（第三批）》，福州市鼓楼区汤边社区的创新做法入选，成为福州又一个被纳入国家层面推广的儿童友好建设案例。

C | 孩子们在改造后的茉莉花游戏地绘上快乐玩耍。（市妇联供图）汤边社区地处五四路核心地段，辖区面积0.87平方公里，常住人口约1.5万人，其中儿童约3300人，加上温泉小学在校师生超4500人，儿童友好服务需求十分突出。去年底，社区启动“泡泡汤边·让童心冒个泡”项目，聚焦安全出行、心理关怀、成长体验三个方面进行建设，总投资约16.5万元，建设周期4个月。社区在项目设计之初就把孩子的想法当作重要参考。社区联合温泉小学发起“社区规划师”活动，面向全校征集通学路径设计和地面彩绘方案，累计收到儿童创意作品100余件。最终，茉莉花图案、吉祥物“温温”“泉泉”、石头剪刀布游戏彩绘等由孩子们亲手设计的元素一一落地。孩子们不再只是服务的接受者，更是社区改造的参与者。公共空间的改造同样不乏巧思。社区将一处闲置街角打造成“泡泡攀讲台”，巧妙融入福州本土的“攀讲”文化，为儿童搭建了一个可以分享心事、展示才艺的开放式舞台。

D | 结合二十四节气，社区还设置了“谷雨新茶”“夏至茉莉”“白露龙眼”“冬至福橘”等互动装置，让孩子们在家门口就能感受四季流转。夜间，新增的儿童友好主题灯光不仅提升了区域亮度，也为孩子们活动提供了安全保障。

E | 在解决通学安全问题上，社区针对温泉小学周边人车混行、公交站点设置不合理等长期痛点，专门开辟了一条1.5米宽的儿童专属通道，采用黄蓝配色增强辨识度，施划彩色斑马线并增设趣味引导标识。

F | 同时协调公交公司和交警部门对公交站台进行迁移，从源头消除安全隐患。

G | 据统计，该项目新增儿童友好空间约800平方米，惠及儿童超4000人，儿童参与设计率达80%以上，社区儿童满意度提升至96%。更值得一提的是，此次改造，单平方米成本控制在200元以内，真正做到“花小钱办实事”。目前，社区已建立起“社区+学校+家长志愿者”三方联动的长效运营机制，每月定期开展儿童议事、自然课堂、攀讲沙龙等活动，空间使用率保持在85%以上。市妇儿工委办相关负责人表示，接下来福州将继续推广“小而美”的适儿化改造经验，为全国提供更多可复制、可推广的儿童友好“福州方案”。（记者李白蕾）。